Occams research console

A falsifiable record: what was asked, what was measured, and what the instrument was doing when it measured it. Rendered from the Register. A dated artifact, not a live view.

P1 c2706a09716b (34) · P2 23cf22aa6586 (37) · P3 e92fda14a7f1 (14) · chain verified

Repository

e7cc38d

Engine sha at measurement

e05a659dceaf

Config sha

56592c718bea · author's build

Generated

2026-10-04T21:29:29+00:00

1 · Controls

Run first, and shown first. Nothing below is worth reading until the instrument has demonstrated that it can find a planted edge and report nothing where there is none. Both controls run through the whole pipeline, register at alpha 0, and carry none of the author's numbers. They recompute on every build; they touch no market data, no key and no network.

Null control · synthetic

Refused

A dead world: random entry that loses the spread. Winner EV -0.0067 net R over N 1,000 (required 732).

beats-null: random entry under the same geometry does as well
floor: the lower confidence bound on EV is below the declared floor (ADR-0050)
beats-always-long: the passive alternative at the same geometry, gate and side mix does as well

Checks that passed: plateau, leave_one_out.

CONTROL-NULL · spec d6d6cf8d7f07

Null control · day-boxed

Refused

A dead world: random entry that loses the spread. Winner EV -0.0797 net R over N 6,295 (required 183).

beats-null: random entry under the same geometry does as well
floor: the lower confidence bound on EV is below the declared floor (ADR-0050)
beats-always-long: the passive alternative at the same geometry, gate and side mix does as well

Checks that passed: plateau, leave_one_out.

CONTROL-NULL-DAY-BOXED · spec 1a43f2cbc935

Signal control · synthetic

Accepted

A planted edge just above the declared floor. Winner EV +0.3433 net R over N 1,000 (required 732).

All five checks passed: plateau, beats_null, clears_floor, leave_one_out, beats_always_long.

CONTROL-SIGNAL · spec 9b315b0f8e08

Signal control · day-boxed

Accepted

A planted edge just above the declared floor. Winner EV +0.3438 net R over N 1,196 (required 183).

All five checks passed: plateau, beats_null, clears_floor, leave_one_out, beats_always_long.

CONTROL-SIGNAL-DAY-BOXED · spec 8f2241c5dd7c

Every null refused and every signal accepted: the instrument is calibrated for this build.

Programme 1 · register.jsonl · 34 records · head c2706a09716b Closed

2 · Position

questions registered

resolved · null 3

0.10

alpha spent, all axes

3 of 3

lab falsifier · null verdicts

120

names archived

strategies past MEASURED

The lab closed: 3 null verdicts (Q-003, Q-004, Q-005). Nothing registers after this record.

Alpha by axis · author's build

price_daily

0.04 of 0.20

regime

0.06 of 0.20

cross_sectional

no budget

fundamental

no budget

reserve

0.00 of 0.10

Spend is replayed from AlphaSpent records: rate × search-space size. The budgets are configuration and appear only on the author's build. A zero-budget axis is not registrable (ADR-0017).

The lab falsifier

The lab closes when the first 3 resolved mechanism verdicts are all null. 3 of 3 are in. The count is the author's and was declared before the first question.

3 · Findings

One card per registered question. A question shows as resolved only because a resolution record exists saying so. There is no equity curve on this page and there will not be one: every curve the closed programme drew came from an entry later proved unobtainable, and the curve looked fine throughout.

Q-005 · mechanism · price_daily

After 3 consecutive lower closes, a liquid US index ETF carries positive EV in net R over the next 3 bars because a streak of declines exhausts short-horizon sellers and the next days correct (reversal after a streak; ADR-0037)

Null

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the floor

The winner cell's estimate in net R against the floor declared before the run. The interval lives in the archived path distribution, 2,000 draws at 6031971c8bdb.

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 748 per cell · available 932
Search space: k = 4 · 0.0400 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.1600 remaining on price_daily after
Observations consumed: measurement partition · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21 · DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY
Measured: position_boxed at e05a659dceaf · n 893 · measurement partition · seed 20260911 · template 27880cdaab29
Verdict: null · EV +0.0513 net R · 53.2 trades per year · bounded costs
Winner cell: [1, 0] · spec b02bf62e45e9 · family 27880cdaab29 (the template measures, the winner trades)
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

Refused at MEASURED → FORWARD by

floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor ev_net_r 0.05132759729191484; floor_ev_net_r 0.15; n 893
leave-one-out: the pooled effect is carried by one group ev_without 0.013991154618133978; group IWM; groups 4; loo_min_fraction 0.5; pooled_ev 0.05132759729191484

Strategy: SPECIFIED → COMPILED → MEASURED.

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

The verdict above stands as reached: null. The rules that judged it were later corrected, for records made after (ADR-0047). This is what they would have said, from register/diagnostics.jsonl; it changes no outcome, no alpha balance and no falsifier count. The whole reading is in the re-score.

Reading: would be refused at measurement, underpowered at its own dispersion; of the five checks, refused by beats-null, floor, leave-one-out, beats-always-long
Recreated first: exactly, at its stamped source e05a659dceaf: EV +0.0513 net R over 893 trades — the record's own numbers
Winner under those rules: cell [1, 0] · n 893 · EV +0.0513 · margin +0.0290 over its passive alternative · the recorded winner
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #32 (287691f54b73)

plateau passes: the winner is +0.014 R over its neighbours' median against a slack of 0.10, 0.35 of its standard errors (recorded, not judged).
beats-null refuses: p 0.0370 by the bootstrap and 0.0394 by the clustered standard error, against 0.0100; a coin's side makes -0.035 R.
floor refuses: the lower confidence bound is -0.065 R against a floor of +0.15; 53.2 trades a year against 50.
leave-one-out refuses: without IWM the score is -0.008 against +0.029 pooled.
beats-always-long refuses: the passive alternative makes +0.022 R; the margin of +0.029 is +0.029 selection and +0.000 execution; p 0.2419 and 0.2394 against 0.0100.

Q-004 · mechanism · regime

In the up regime as labelled by classifier 0434836a176a (index-level), breakout entries carry positive EV in net R because participants under-react to continuation within the regime

Null

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the floor

The winner cell's estimate in net R against the floor declared before the run. The interval lives in the archived path distribution, 2,000 draws at b39bbd20bfca.

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 748 per cell · available 1,074
Search space: k = 2 · 0.0200 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.1400 remaining on regime after
Observations consumed: measurement partition · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21 · DIA, QQQ, SPY
Measured: day_boxed at b145d49a7c7e · n 2,088 · measurement partition · seed 1 · template 916bef9a30f2
Verdict: null · EV -0.0451 net R · 124.3 trades per year · bounded costs
Winner cell: [1] · spec 9742e155d04c · family 916bef9a30f2 (the template measures, the winner trades)
Supersedes: Q-003
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

Refused at MEASURED → FORWARD by

plateau: the winner's neighbourhood is too small to show a plateau neighbourhood 2; plateau_cells 4; winner [1]
beats-null: random entry under the same geometry does as well alpha_corrected 0.01; draws 4000; null_mean -0.03401552957054297; p_null 0.983; winner_ev -0.04513285314163667
floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor ev_net_r -0.04513285314163667; floor_ev_net_r 0.15; n 2088
leave-one-out: the pooled effect is carried by one group ev_without -0.046647450924174626; group DIA; groups 3; loo_min_fraction 0.5; pooled_ev -0.04513285314163667

Strategy: SPECIFIED → COMPILED → MEASURED.

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

Reading: would be null; refused by plateau, beats-null, floor, leave-one-out, beats-always-long
Recreated first: exactly, at its stamped source b145d49a7c7e: EV -0.0451 net R over 2,088 trades — the record's own numbers
Winner under those rules: cell [1] · n 2,088 · EV -0.0451 · margin -0.0125 over its passive alternative · the recorded winner
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #21 (7d6814ef0aa1)

plateau refuses: a neighbourhood of 2 against the 4 declared.
beats-null refuses: p 0.9910 by the bootstrap and 0.9889 by the clustered standard error, against 0.0100; a coin's side makes -0.034 R.
floor refuses: the lower confidence bound is -0.056 R against a floor of +0.15; 124.3 trades a year against 50.
leave-one-out refuses: the pooled score is not positive; leave-one-out has nothing to preserve.
beats-always-long refuses: the passive alternative makes -0.033 R; the margin of -0.013 is +0.063 selection and -0.075 execution; p 0.9923 and 0.9927 against 0.0100.

Q-003 · mechanism · regime

In the up regime as labelled by classifier 0434836a176a (index-level), breakout entries carry positive EV in net R because participants under-react to continuation within the regime

Null

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the floor

The winner cell's estimate in net R against the floor declared before the run. The interval lives in the archived path distribution, 2,000 draws at 1575375ce4b2.

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 748 per cell · available 837
Search space: k = 4 · 0.0400 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.1600 remaining on regime after
Observations consumed: measurement partition · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21 · QQQ, SPY
Measured: day_boxed at e2cdf14d9281 · n 1,391 · measurement partition · seed 20260911 · template 916bef9a30f2
Verdict: null · EV -0.0466 net R · 82.8 trades per year · bounded costs
Winner cell: [1, 0] · spec 9742e155d04c · family 916bef9a30f2 (the template measures, the winner trades)
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

Refused at MEASURED → FORWARD by

beats-null: random entry under the same geometry does as well
floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor
leave-one-out: fewer than three groups, so robustness cannot be shown

Strategy: SPECIFIED → COMPILED → MEASURED.

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

Reading: would be null; refused by beats-null, floor, leave-one-out, beats-always-long
Recreated first: exactly, at its stamped source e2cdf14d9281: EV -0.0466 net R over 1,391 trades — the record's own numbers
Winner under those rules: cell [1, 0] · n 1,391 · EV -0.0466 · margin -0.0138 over its passive alternative · the recorded winner
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #9 (4bec6db4fbde)

plateau passes: the winner is +0.012 R over its neighbours' median against a slack of 0.10, 2.15 of its standard errors (recorded, not judged).
beats-null refuses: p 0.9883 by the bootstrap and 0.9896 by the clustered standard error, against 0.0100; a coin's side makes -0.034 R.
floor refuses: the lower confidence bound is -0.059 R against a floor of +0.15; 82.8 trades a year against 50.
leave-one-out refuses: fewer than three groups, so robustness cannot be shown.
beats-always-long refuses: the passive alternative makes -0.033 R; the margin of -0.014 is +0.067 selection and -0.081 execution; p 0.9908 and 0.9917 against 0.0100.

Prepared, not registered

A prepare spends nothing and writes nothing, so nothing prepared appears here until it is registered. What the gates said about a prepared question is in the status log.

5 · The Register

Every record, in chain order, each carrying the hash of the one before it. A tampered Register fails the build; this page is not rendered from a chain that does not verify.

#	Record	At (UTC)	What it says	Hash
0	ClassifierFrozen	2026-09-11 18:28	index-level on SPY over QQQ, SPY · frozen 0434836a176a	f1e3f8c3e655
1	ClassifierFrozen	2026-09-11 18:32	index-level on SPY over QQQ, SPY · frozen 0434836a176a · supersedes 0434836a176a	b9090e4c9138
2	AlphaSpent	2026-09-11 19:12	Q-003 · regime · 0.0100 × 4 = 0.0400 · 0.1600 remaining after	0ee943691343
3	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-11 19:12	Q-003 · mechanism · regime · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 748 · available 837 · by MaverickHQ	a12f858eabd1
4	ObservationsConsumed	2026-09-11 19:15	Q-003 · measurement partition · QQQ, SPY · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21	af7c7e89fc6f
5	HypothesisMeasured	2026-09-11 19:15	Q-003 · day_boxed · n 1,391 · k 4 · seed 20260911 · template 916bef9a30f2	d0d67ad13c6d
6	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-11 19:15	916bef9a30f2 · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	e5f05a296035
7	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-11 19:15	916bef9a30f2 · COMPILED → MEASURED	8a7d680e3b54
8	PathsArchived	2026-09-11 19:15	Q-003 · 2,000 draws over 1,391 trades · 9742e155d04c → 1575375ce4b2	d45966992547
9	HypothesisResolved	2026-09-11 19:15	Q-003 · null · EV -0.0466 net R · 82.8/yr · bounded · winner [1, 0] · 3 refusals	4bec6db4fbde
10	AlphaSpent	2026-09-12 09:39	Q-004 · regime · 0.0100 × 2 = 0.0200 · 0.1400 remaining after	105f7476ba98
11	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-12 09:39	Q-004 · mechanism · regime · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 748 · available 1,074 · by MaverickHQ	916a633ee41b
12	ObservationsConsumed	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · measurement partition · DIA, QQQ, SPY · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21	0fb727557ca2
13	HypothesisMeasured	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · day_boxed · n 2,088 · k 2 · seed 1 · template 916bef9a30f2	7c0a1817b2b1
14	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: plateau: the winner's neighbourhood is too small to show a plateau	6267f0293eaf
15	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: beats-null: random entry under the same geometry does as well	2880cb362173
16	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor	c20b6be575e8
17	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: leave-one-out: the pooled effect is carried by one group	16af4a93222c
18	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-12 09:43	916bef9a30f2 · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	4da1b07d5c94
19	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-12 09:43	916bef9a30f2 · COMPILED → MEASURED	a8df8f3e44cf
20	PathsArchived	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · 2,000 draws over 2,088 trades · 9742e155d04c → b39bbd20bfca	9188bd568fac
21	HypothesisResolved	2026-09-12 09:43	Q-004 · null · EV -0.0451 net R · 124.3/yr · bounded · winner [1] · 4 refusals	7d6814ef0aa1
22	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-12 10:33	calendar 1993-01-29 to 2026-09-10 · definition to 2003-03-01 · measurement to 2019-12-21 · DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY	53ddad41ec82
23	AlphaSpent	2026-09-12 10:33	Q-005 · price_daily · 0.0100 × 4 = 0.0400 · 0.1600 remaining after	5ce891abc200
24	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-12 10:33	Q-005 · mechanism · price_daily · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 748 · available 932 · by MaverickHQ	6b943242aeba
25	ObservationsConsumed	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · measurement partition · DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY · 2003-03-01 to 2019-12-21	cd70f3fa1b51
26	HypothesisMeasured	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · position_boxed · n 893 · k 4 · seed 20260911 · template 27880cdaab29	f4cdbdc25470
27	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor	30533697c4df
28	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: leave-one-out: the pooled effect is carried by one group	bc4e4684191f
29	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-12 10:45	27880cdaab29 · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	7c193e254839
30	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-12 10:45	27880cdaab29 · COMPILED → MEASURED	cbbc9a357c64
31	PathsArchived	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · 2,000 draws over 893 trades · b02bf62e45e9 → 6031971c8bdb	d267bbb181fb
32	HypothesisResolved	2026-09-12 10:45	Q-005 · null · EV +0.0513 net R · 53.2/yr · bounded · winner [1, 0] · 2 refusals	287691f54b73
33	LabClosed	2026-09-12 10:45	lab closed · 3 null verdicts · Q-003, Q-004, Q-005	c2706a09716b

AlphaSpent 3 · CalendarFrozen 1 · ClassifierFrozen 2 · HypothesisMeasured 3 · HypothesisRegistered 3 · HypothesisResolved 3 · LabClosed 1 · ObservationsConsumed 3 · PathsArchived 3 · RefusalRecorded 6 · StrategyTransitioned 6.

Programme 2 · programme-2.jsonl · 37 records · head 23cf22aa6586 Stopped

2 · Position

questions registered

resolved · null 1 · supported 1

0.30

alpha spent, all axes

1 of 3

lab falsifier · null verdicts

120

names archived

strategies past MEASURED

The programme stopped: the author (MaverickHQ) stopped it: Every family the survey holds is beyond both axes; the two verdicts, one by each winner rule, have answered what grid-001 could ask at this floor. Nothing registers after this record.

Alpha by axis · author's build

price_daily

0.15 of 0.20

regime

0.15 of 0.20

cross_sectional

no budget

fundamental

no budget

reserve

0.00 of 0.10

Spend is replayed from AlphaSpent records: rate × search-space size. The budgets are configuration and appear only on the author's build. A zero-budget axis is not registrable (ADR-0017).

The lab falsifier

The lab closes when the first 3 resolved mechanism verdicts are all null. 1 of 3 is in. The count is the author's and was declared before the first question.

Shrinkage from screening

Question	Survey cell	Screened	EV, definition	EV, measured	Δ EV	Margin, definition	Margin, measured	Δ margin	Verdict
Q2-001	f2199b5b297d85bb	38,976	+0.256	+0.213	-0.042	+0.239	-0.001	-0.240	supported
Q2-002	f8500a69db544a3c	38,976	+0.333	+0.109	-0.224	+0.201	+0.075	-0.127	null

Net R per trade. The definition numbers are the survey cell's (the calibration set, zero alpha); the measured ones are the winner cell's on the measurement partition against always-long at the same geometry. Every cell screened is counted beside every question registered from it (N6).

3 · Findings

Q2-002 · mechanism · price_daily

After 4 consecutive lower closes, an S&P 100 constituent as listed on 2026-09-12 carries positive EV in net R over the next 20 bars because a streak of declines exhausts short-horizon sellers and the next days correct (reversal after a streak; ADR-0037)

Null

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the declared floor, on the measurement partition

The winner cell's estimate in net R against the floor declared before the run. The interval lives in the archived path distribution, 2,000 draws at 698177f073b8.

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 8,704 per cell · available 10,944
Search space: k = 15 · 0.1500 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.0500 remaining on price_daily after
Observations consumed: measurement partition · 2003-02-12 to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM
Measured: position_boxed at 8f81ff3599fe · n 12,732 · measurement partition · seed 20260919 · template 040e386d6c1f
Verdict: null · EV +0.1089 net R · 756.5 trades per year · bounded costs
Winner cell: [2, 0] · spec 9f15843779dd · family 040e386d6c1f (the template measures, the winner trades)
From the survey: cell f8500a69db544a3c of results 80f551b4de5c · 38,976 cells screened · universe sp_100
Shrinkage from screening: definition EV +0.333 → measured +0.109 net R (-0.224) · margin over always-long +0.201 → +0.075 (-0.127) · 6,545 → 12,732 trades
Eras on the measurement partition: era 1 2003-02-12–2008-09-23: 4,183 trades, EV +0.100, without it +0.113 · era 2 2008-09-23–2014-05-06: 4,432 trades, EV +0.156, without it +0.084 · era 3 2014-05-06–2019-12-17: 4,117 trades, EV +0.067, without it +0.129 · a recorded diagnostic, not a gate (M12.6)
Missed entries: 1 the fill auditor refused, not opened (ADR-0041): C 1
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

Refused at MEASURED → FORWARD by

floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor ev_net_r 0.10892215457915795; floor_ev_net_r 0.15; n 12732

Strategy: SPECIFIED → COMPILED → MEASURED.

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

Reading: would be null; refused by floor
Recreated first: exactly, at its stamped source 8f81ff3599fe: EV +0.1089 net R over 12,732 trades — the record's own numbers
Winner under those rules: cell [2, 0] · n 12,732 · EV +0.1089 · margin +0.0748 over its passive alternative · the recorded winner
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #33 (bb6c9b72b0ee)

plateau passes: the winner is +0.016 R over its neighbours' median against a slack of 0.10, 0.55 of its standard errors (recorded, not judged).
beats-null passes: p 0.0002 by the bootstrap and 1.1e-05 by the clustered standard error, against 0.0100; a coin's side makes -0.056 R.
floor refuses: the lower confidence bound is +0.015 R against a floor of +0.15; 756.5 trades a year against 50.
leave-one-out passes: without BLK the score is +0.071 against +0.075 pooled.
beats-always-long passes: the passive alternative makes +0.034 R; the margin of +0.075 is +0.075 selection and +0.000 execution; p 0.0052 and 0.0056 against 0.0100.

Q2-001 · mechanism · regime

After 4 consecutive lower closes, an S&P 100 constituent as listed on 2026-09-12 carries positive EV in net R over the next 5 bars because a streak of declines exhausts short-horizon sellers and the next days correct (reversal after a streak; ADR-0037) — inside the up regime of the classifier frozen on SPY (F11)

supported

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the declared floor, on the measurement partition

The winner cell's estimate in net R against the floor declared before the run. The interval lives in the archived path distribution, 2,000 draws at 2a87f507409e.

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 2,561 per cell · available 6,286
Search space: k = 15 · 0.1500 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.0500 remaining on regime after
Observations consumed: measurement partition · 2003-02-12 to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM
Measured: position_boxed at 1a243e504eb4 · n 6,946 · measurement partition · seed 20260917 · template 637c770d86e9
Verdict: supported · EV +0.2134 net R · 412.7 trades per year · bounded costs
Winner cell: [4, 0] · spec 4524d16f9c85 · family 637c770d86e9 (the template measures, the winner trades)
From the survey: cell f2199b5b297d85bb of results 80f551b4de5c · 38,976 cells screened · universe sp_100
Shrinkage from screening: definition EV +0.256 → measured +0.213 net R (-0.042) · margin over always-long +0.239 → -0.001 (-0.240) · 3,739 → 6,946 trades
Eras on the measurement partition: era 1 2003-02-12–2008-09-23: 2,107 trades, EV +0.188, without it +0.225 · era 2 2008-09-23–2014-05-06: 2,391 trades, EV +0.288, without it +0.174 · era 3 2014-05-06–2019-12-17: 2,448 trades, EV +0.162, without it +0.241 · a recorded diagnostic, not a gate (M12.6)
Missed entries: 1 the fill auditor refused, not opened (ADR-0041): C 1
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

No refusal fired at MEASURED → FORWARD.

Strategy: SPECIFIED → COMPILED → MEASURED → COMPILED → MEASURED → FORWARD.

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

The verdict above stands as reached: supported. The rules that judged it were later corrected, for records made after (ADR-0047). This is what they would have said, from register/diagnostics.jsonl; it changes no outcome, no alpha balance and no falsifier count. The whole reading is in the re-score.

Reading: would be null; refused by floor, beats-always-long
Recreated first: exactly, at its stamped source 1a243e504eb4: EV +0.2134 net R over 6,946 trades — the record's own numbers
Winner under those rules: cell [2, 0] · n 7,642 · EV +0.0908 · margin +0.0540 over its passive alternative · not the recorded winner
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #19 (37327a3559ec)

plateau passes: the winner is +0.012 R over its neighbours' median against a slack of 0.10, 0.42 of its standard errors (recorded, not judged).
beats-null passes: p 0.0007 by the bootstrap and 0.0001 by the clustered standard error, against 0.0100; a coin's side makes -0.052 R.
floor refuses: the lower confidence bound is +0.002 R against a floor of +0.15; 454.1 trades a year against 50.
leave-one-out passes: without CRM the score is +0.050 against +0.054 pooled.
beats-always-long refuses: the passive alternative makes +0.037 R; the margin of +0.054 is +0.054 selection and +0.000 execution; p 0.0310 and 0.0294 against 0.0100.

Prepared, not registered

A prepare spends nothing and writes nothing, so nothing prepared appears here until it is registered. What the gates said about a prepared question is in the status log.

Surveys

Breadth on the definition partition at zero alpha: every cell screened is counted beside every question registered from it (N6). Nothing in a survey is a verdict.

grid-001 · grid b98ce89d7cd8 · seed 20260912 zero alpha

38,976 cells over dow_30, index_etfs, sector_etfs, sp_100 · results 80f551b4de5c · classifier 0434836a176a · the survey page

definition partition only; zero alpha; nothing here is a verdict (M12.3); computed on machine x86_64 numpy 2.5.3 python 3.12.3 system Linux

5 · The Register

Every record, in chain order, each carrying the hash of the one before it. A tampered Register fails the build; this page is not rendered from a chain that does not verify.

#	Record	At (UTC)	What it says	Hash
0	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-12 12:01	index_etfs · 4 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the four most liquid US-listed broad-index ETFs: S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, Dow 30, Russell 2000 · bias: currently-listed only; all four have survived, which is the	700747155d86
1	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-12 12:01	[index_etfs] calendar 1993-01-29 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-03-02 · measurement to 2019-12-23 · DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY	1ae93408636c
2	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-12 12:01	sector_etfs · 11 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the eleven Select Sector SPDR ETFs, one per GICS sector, as listed on 2026-09-12 · bias: currently-listed only; the sector set is rules-based and com	f526d16fef2f
3	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-12 12:01	[sector_etfs] calendar 1998-12-22 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2007-04-17 · measurement to 2021-02-25 · XLB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLU, XLV, XLY	ba396240931f
4	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-12 12:01	dow_30 · 30 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the thirty constituents of the Dow Jones Industrial Average as listed on en.wikipedia.org/ · bias: survivorship by construction: a current membership list cont	f697ff0afbb7
5	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-12 12:01	[dow_30] calendar 1993-01-04 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-02-12 · measurement to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, AMGN, AMZN, AXP, BA, CAT, CRM, CSCO, CVX, DIS, GOOGL, GS, HD, HON, IBM, JNJ, JPM, KO, MCD, MMM, MRK, MSFT, NKE, NVDA, PG, SHW, TRV, UNH, V, WMT	190728d7b8da
6	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-12 17:07	sp_100 · 101 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the 101 constituents of the S&P 100 as listed on en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_100 on 2026-0 · bias: survivorship by construction: a current membership list cont	f0265946e637
7	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-12 17:07	[sp_100] calendar 1993-01-04 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-02-12 · measurement to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GEV, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, HONA, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PLTR, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM	ce08df835e78
8	ClassifierFrozen	2026-09-12 18:32	index-level on SPY over SPY · frozen 0434836a176a	dfaec531a833
9	SurveyRecorded	2026-09-13 11:08	survey grid-001 · grid b98ce89d7cd8 · 38,976 cells · dow_30, index_etfs, sector_etfs, sp_100 · results 80f551b4de5c · seed 20260912 · zero alpha	0c6492b0d70a
10	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-13 13:57	sector_etfs · 11 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the eleven Select Sector SPDR ETFs, one per GICS sector, as listed on 2026-09-12 · bias: currently-listed only; the sector set is rules-based and com	6aaf3ce5bed0
11	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-13 13:57	sp_100 · 101 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the 101 constituents of the S&P 100 as listed on en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_100 on 2026-0 · bias: survivorship by construction: a current membership list cont	1c4f1d315a1f
12	AlphaSpent	2026-09-14 20:01	Q2-001 · regime · 0.0100 × 15 = 0.1500 · 0.0500 remaining after	9d9c232e5c11
13	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-14 20:01	Q2-001 · mechanism · regime · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 2,561 · available 6,286 · by MaverickHQ	2194e5f20ca0
14	ObservationsConsumed	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · measurement partition · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM · 2003-02-12 to 2019-12-17	dcac440cac22
15	HypothesisMeasured	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · position_boxed · n 6,946 · k 15 · seed 20260917 · template 637c770d86e9	22b80526af22
16	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-17 18:36	637c770d86e9 · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	bd012fdcb4ea
17	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-17 18:36	637c770d86e9 · COMPILED → MEASURED	1b5be79e33e8
18	PathsArchived	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · 2,000 draws over 6,946 trades · 4524d16f9c85 → 2a87f507409e	40beb0af3504
19	HypothesisResolved	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · supported · EV +0.2134 net R · 412.7/yr · bounded · winner [4, 0] · 0 refusals	37327a3559ec
20	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-17 18:36	4524d16f9c85 · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	e989ec6d2212
21	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-17 18:36	4524d16f9c85 · COMPILED → MEASURED	1eff2908e5fa
22	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-17 18:36	4524d16f9c85 · MEASURED → FORWARD	c05907847072
23	EraDecomposition	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · winner 4524d16f9c85 · 3 eras on measurement: 2,107 at +0.188 / 2,391 at +0.288 / 2,448 at +0.162 · 1 missed · seed 20260917 · a diagnostic, not a gate	3d0238436236
24	Shrinkage	2026-09-17 18:36	Q2-001 · cell f2199b5b297d85bb of 38,976 screened · EV +0.256 → +0.213 · margin +0.239 → -0.001	6d9a35bb72f0
25	AlphaSpent	2026-09-19 14:20	Q2-002 · price_daily · 0.0100 × 15 = 0.1500 · 0.0500 remaining after	3c693f1db749
26	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-19 14:20	Q2-002 · mechanism · price_daily · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 8,704 · available 10,944 · by MaverickHQ	62f1cb641e11
27	ObservationsConsumed	2026-09-19 14:24	Q2-002 · measurement partition · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM · 2003-02-12 to 2019-12-17	1537c4dfbe80
28	HypothesisMeasured	2026-09-19 14:24	Q2-002 · position_boxed · n 12,732 · k 15 · seed 20260919 · template 040e386d6c1f	ed20d338f41e
29	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-19 14:24	Q2-002 · refused at MEASURED->FORWARD: floor: EV per trade in net R is below the declared floor	656347edecda
30	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-19 14:24	040e386d6c1f · SPECIFIED → COMPILED	98a91f8011ca
31	StrategyTransitioned	2026-09-19 14:24	040e386d6c1f · COMPILED → MEASURED	34cd4fb3fab3
32	PathsArchived	2026-09-19 14:24	Q2-002 · 2,000 draws over 12,732 trades · 9f15843779dd → 698177f073b8	1c8ca9968837
33	HypothesisResolved	2026-09-19 14:24	Q2-002 · null · EV +0.1089 net R · 756.5/yr · bounded · winner [2, 0] · 1 refusal	bb6c9b72b0ee
34	EraDecomposition	2026-09-19 14:25	Q2-002 · winner 9f15843779dd · 3 eras on measurement: 4,183 at +0.100 / 4,432 at +0.156 / 4,117 at +0.067 · 1 missed · seed 20260919 · a diagnostic, not a gate	3b0764cc57d8
35	Shrinkage	2026-09-19 14:25	Q2-002 · cell f8500a69db544a3c of 38,976 screened · EV +0.333 → +0.109 · margin +0.201 → +0.075	f7694e2eff32
36	ProgrammeStopped	2026-09-20 09:12	programme stopped · author · by MaverickHQ · Every family the survey holds is beyond both axes; the two verdicts, one by each winner rule, have answered what grid-00 · 2 questions, 1 surveys, 2 verdicts	23cf22aa6586

AlphaSpent 2 · CalendarFrozen 4 · ClassifierFrozen 1 · EraDecomposition 2 · HypothesisMeasured 2 · HypothesisRegistered 2 · HypothesisResolved 2 · ObservationsConsumed 2 · PathsArchived 2 · ProgrammeStopped 1 · RefusalRecorded 1 · Shrinkage 2 · StrategyTransitioned 7 · SurveyRecorded 1 · UniverseDeclared 6.

Programme 3 · programme-3.jsonl · 14 records · head e92fda14a7f1 Stopped

2 · Position

questions registered

resolved · none

0.15

alpha spent, all axes

0 of 3

lab falsifier · null verdicts

120

names archived

strategies past MEASURED

The programme stopped: the author (MaverickHQ) stopped it: At the declared numbers no family on grid-002 is registrable: the one question the regime axis could buy, Q3-001, was refused at measurement before a verdict, and what remains on either axis affords no survey family. Whether a margin the screen finds transfers was not answered on this grid at these numbers. Nothing registers after this record.

Alpha by axis · author's build

price_daily

0.00 of 0.20

regime

0.15 of 0.20

cross_sectional

no budget

fundamental

no budget

reserve

0.00 of 0.10

Spend is replayed from AlphaSpent records: rate × search-space size. The budgets are configuration and appear only on the author's build. A zero-budget axis is not registrable (ADR-0017).

The lab falsifier

The lab closes when the first 3 resolved mechanism verdicts are all null. 0 of 3 are in. The count is the author's and was declared before the first question.

3 · Findings

Q3-001 · mechanism · regime

After a close below its 20-bar average while above its 200-bar average, a US sector ETF carries positive EV in net R over the next 10 bars because a dip inside an uptrend is bought back (reversal conditioned on trend; ADR-0037) — inside the up regime of the classifier frozen on SPY (F11)

Refused at measurement · unresolved

Falsifier: the winner cell's EV in net R at or below the null's corrected quantile, or below the declared floor, on the measurement partition

Declared floor: 0.15 net R per trade · 50 trades per year
Power at registration: required 1,068 per cell · available 2,327
Search space: k = 15 · 0.1500 alpha · 0.0100 per cell · 0.0500 remaining on regime after
From the survey: cell e02384ae41677547 of results f5b7a3470c77 · 38,976 cells screened · universe sector_etfs
Registered by: MaverickHQ · config 56592c718bea

Re-scored under the corrected rules — a diagnostic, not a verdict

The record above stands as written: refused at measurement, unresolved. The rules that judged it were later corrected, for records made after (ADR-0047). This is what they would have said, from register/diagnostics.jsonl; it changes no outcome, no alpha balance and no falsifier count. The whole reading is in the re-score.

Reading: not re-scored: its refusal stamps no engine
Not recreated: the refusal at measurement stamps no engine commit: there is no stamped source to recreate its count from, and a question that is not recreated is not re-scored (ADR-0047 §4)
Judged by: code 0081ed652301 · content be61a3e4d64d70dd · ADR-0043, ADR-0045, ADR-0048, ADR-0049, ADR-0050, ADR-0051, ADR-0055 · annotates record #12 (f4fd2b572b24)

Prepared, not registered

A prepare spends nothing and writes nothing, so nothing prepared appears here until it is registered. What the gates said about a prepared question is in the status log.

Surveys

Breadth on the definition partition at zero alpha: every cell screened is counted beside every question registered from it (N6). Nothing in a survey is a verdict.

grid-002 · grid 1716f9f1c506 · seed 20260920 zero alpha

38,976 cells over dow_30, index_etfs, sector_etfs, sp_100 · results f5b7a3470c77 · classifier 0434836a176a · the survey page

definition partition only; zero alpha; nothing here is a verdict (M12.3); computed on machine x86_64 numpy 2.5.3 python 3.12.3 system Linux

5 · The Register

Every record, in chain order, each carrying the hash of the one before it. A tampered Register fails the build; this page is not rendered from a chain that does not verify.

#	Record	At (UTC)	What it says	Hash
0	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-20 13:35	index_etfs · 4 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the four most liquid US-listed broad-index ETFs: S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, Dow 30, Russell 2000 · bias: currently-listed only; all four have survived, which is the	c3bd8edd08a2
1	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-20 13:35	sector_etfs · 11 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the eleven Select Sector SPDR ETFs, one per GICS sector, as listed on 2026-09-12 · bias: currently-listed only; the sector set is rules-based and com	7338800f1560
2	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-20 13:35	dow_30 · 30 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the thirty constituents of the Dow Jones Industrial Average as listed on en.wikipedia.org/ · bias: survivorship by construction: a current membership list cont	e20ccb91cb11
3	UniverseDeclared	2026-09-20 13:35	sp_100 · 101 names · us_large · tiingo-starter · the 101 constituents of the S&P 100 as listed on en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_100 on 2026-0 · bias: survivorship by construction: a current membership list cont	2382885a3d7e
4	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-20 13:43	[index_etfs] calendar 1993-01-29 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-03-02 · measurement to 2019-12-23 · DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY	563b149483e8
5	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-20 13:43	[sector_etfs] calendar 1998-12-22 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2007-04-17 · measurement to 2021-02-25 · XLB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLU, XLV, XLY	b24f4347ff8a
6	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-20 13:43	[dow_30] calendar 1993-01-04 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-02-12 · measurement to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, AMGN, AMZN, AXP, BA, CAT, CRM, CSCO, CVX, DIS, GOOGL, GS, HD, HON, IBM, JNJ, JPM, KO, MCD, MMM, MRK, MSFT, NKE, NVDA, PG, SHW, TRV, UNH, V, WMT	64ffe2cbfa12
7	CalendarFrozen	2026-09-20 13:43	[sp_100] calendar 1993-01-04 to 2026-09-11 · definition to 2003-02-12 · measurement to 2019-12-17 · AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMT, AMZN, AVGO, AXP, BA, BAC, BKNG, BLK, BMY, BNY, BRK-B, C, CAT, CL, CMCSA, COF, COP, COST, CRM, CSCO, CVS, CVX, DE, DHR, DIS, DUK, EMR, FDX, GD, GE, GEV, GILD, GM, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, HD, HONA, IBM, INTC, INTU, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, MA, MCD, MDLZ, MDT, META, MMM, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, NEE, NFLX, NKE, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PEP, PFE, PG, PLTR, PM, QCOM, RTX, SBUX, SCHW, SO, SPG, T, TMO, TMUS, TSLA, TXN, UBER, UNH, UNP, UPS, USB, V, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM	5d79ee3860dd
8	ClassifierFrozen	2026-09-20 13:43	index-level on SPY over SPY · frozen 0434836a176a	97e6dd35c0b6
9	SurveyRecorded	2026-09-20 15:33	survey grid-002 · grid 1716f9f1c506 · 38,976 cells · dow_30, index_etfs, sector_etfs, sp_100 · results f5b7a3470c77 · seed 20260920 · zero alpha	6b87ae58fa06
10	AlphaSpent	2026-09-20 20:04	Q3-001 · regime · 0.0100 × 15 = 0.1500 · 0.0500 remaining after	fc2f328c946b
11	HypothesisRegistered	2026-09-20 20:04	Q3-001 · mechanism · regime · floor (0.15 R, 50/yr) · required 1,068 · available 2,327 · by MaverickHQ	f79990f43da2
12	RefusalRecorded	2026-09-20 20:08	Q3-001 · refused at REGISTERED->MEASURED: the winning cell holds fewer trades than the power plan requires	f4fd2b572b24
13	ProgrammeStopped	2026-09-22 11:54	programme stopped · author · by MaverickHQ · At the declared numbers no family on grid-002 is registrable: the one question the regime axis could buy, Q3-001, was re · 1 questions, 1 surveys, 0 verdicts	e92fda14a7f1

AlphaSpent 1 · CalendarFrozen 4 · ClassifierFrozen 1 · HypothesisRegistered 1 · ProgrammeStopped 1 · RefusalRecorded 1 · SurveyRecorded 1 · UniverseDeclared 4.

4 · Archive

What the questions were measured on: names, spans, counts and content hashes. Never the bars.

Name	Bars	First bar	Last bar	Actions	Source	Content hash	Requested
AAPL	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	73	tiingo-starter	079d96757fe6	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ABBV	3,444	2013-01-02	2026-09-11	55	tiingo-starter	fd3a848d9caa	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ABT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	5415ce7db8f2	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ACN	6,324	2001-07-19	2026-09-11	52	tiingo-starter	6f5dc06d5ce0	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ADBE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	55	tiingo-starter	715073956837	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AMAT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	91	tiingo-starter	83a9031fa98a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AMD	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	2	tiingo-starter	f41359270c44	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AMGN	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	65	tiingo-starter	ccca2363e2c8	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AMT	7,179	1998-02-27	2026-09-11	59	tiingo-starter	db3d8c5893e7	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AMZN	7,377	1997-05-15	2026-09-11	4	tiingo-starter	84f089412718	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AVGO	4,301	2009-08-06	2026-09-11	64	tiingo-starter	ea80e47e610b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
AXP	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	be745cb7d536	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BA	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	110	tiingo-starter	ae582e690782	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BAC	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	af2f0bf69aca	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BKNG	6,905	1999-03-31	2026-09-11	13	tiingo-starter	5371c7dd1965	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BLK	6,777	1999-10-01	2026-09-11	94	tiingo-starter	435a8e913ac8	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BMY	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	a3547589f194	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BNY	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	142	tiingo-starter	1553248731da	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
BRK-B	7,634	1996-05-09	2026-09-11	1	tiingo-starter	7aff9ed22b2f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
C	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	4d9c4b87af07	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CAT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	b0e26eb0875d	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CL	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	a8872c556c61	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CMCSA	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	104	tiingo-starter	5ba953d9d260	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
COF	8,007	1994-11-16	2026-09-11	127	tiingo-starter	88af8af33b6c	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
COP	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	146	tiingo-starter	9ef62493cda1	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
COST	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	98	tiingo-starter	5c92fe027232	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CRM	5,591	2004-06-23	2026-09-11	11	tiingo-starter	1bbcd2c7a94f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CSCO	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	69	tiingo-starter	469244d3045f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CVS	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	52d29edfef82	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
CVX	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	e50c298ecb4f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
DE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	8b09d304d1c8	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
DHR	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	26863802cdf1	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
DIA	7,205	1998-01-20	2026-09-10	340	tiingo-starter	757222b41ae4	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-11
DIS	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	58	tiingo-starter	e4050ffa5e14	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
DUK	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	529d614fa829	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
EMR	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	00626f61ed8f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
FDX	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	100	tiingo-starter	d0e17a599994	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GD	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	143	tiingo-starter	88f75169b138	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	141	tiingo-starter	c0a841bac7aa	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GEV	617	2024-03-27	2026-09-11	7	tiingo-starter	c5bfaf686044	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GILD	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	50	tiingo-starter	7404eb2eef24	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GM	3,976	2010-11-18	2026-09-11	42	tiingo-starter	0f145df4fcc4	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GOOG	3,134	2014-03-27	2026-09-11	12	tiingo-starter	4c408e371251	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GOOGL	5,551	2004-08-19	2026-09-11	12	tiingo-starter	567167bbee99	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
GS	6,882	1999-05-04	2026-09-11	110	tiingo-starter	8cc1063faf3b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
HD	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	4248b5d0fba1	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
HON	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	142	tiingo-starter	cf8f7ec8d14f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
HONA	53	2026-06-29	2026-09-11	0	tiingo-starter	541ccab23c78	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
IBM	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	d88b37b85140	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
INTC	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	132	tiingo-starter	39e08b9180d1	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
INTU	8,427	1993-03-22	2026-09-11	63	tiingo-starter	bb69917864e0	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ISRG	6,598	2000-06-16	2026-09-11	3	tiingo-starter	ab119a6e7819	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
IWM	6,612	2000-05-26	2026-09-11	106	tiingo-starter	d0a9d913d40f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-11
JNJ	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	acaf2e0078a9	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
JPM	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	141	tiingo-starter	98ba2e13604a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
KO	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	136	tiingo-starter	0df819554dc4	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
LIN	1,997	2018-10-01	2026-09-11	32	tiingo-starter	28b288f03527	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
LLY	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	90cd23e10361	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
LMT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	136	tiingo-starter	ab85311eed45	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
LOW	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	50474e6a2eee	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
LRCX	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	52	tiingo-starter	6030b5af2142	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MA	5,106	2006-05-25	2026-09-11	81	tiingo-starter	5885208dfc3f	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MCD	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	114	tiingo-starter	91e7614a40a2	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MDLZ	6,349	2001-06-13	2026-09-11	101	tiingo-starter	d66021276824	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MDT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	16e9062cbccb	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
META	3,599	2012-05-18	2026-09-11	10	tiingo-starter	dfa812ac8b65	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MMM	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	20e1fd6e112c	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MO	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	b9cbb13be99e	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MRK	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	05010d3de215	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MS	8,446	1993-02-23	2026-09-11	136	tiingo-starter	f6154c0ef6e5	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MSFT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	96	tiingo-starter	251880f73f4a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
MU	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	33	tiingo-starter	19cf2189854a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
NEE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	ea964b7306fd	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
NFLX	6,115	2002-05-23	2026-09-11	3	tiingo-starter	811ded04fcdc	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
NKE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	932dd0715386	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
NOW	3,570	2012-06-29	2026-09-11	1	tiingo-starter	3bd12ff68fe2	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
NVDA	6,952	1999-01-22	2026-09-11	62	tiingo-starter	6a6f6c71ecb4	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
ORCL	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	76	tiingo-starter	31246a3c477c	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
PEP	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	c3051a0276fd	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
PFE	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	5b2de9f1b5d8	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
PG	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	9d4e191f310a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
PLTR	1,494	2020-09-30	2026-09-11	0	tiingo-starter	cfc60e35e05a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
PM	4,652	2008-03-17	2026-09-11	73	tiingo-starter	1b783ec7c9d3	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
QCOM	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	99	tiingo-starter	5ad66310b813	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
QQQ	6,919	1999-03-10	2026-09-10	89	tiingo-starter	8b2fb289fa3a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-11
RTX	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	a996e29bd61b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SBUX	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	72	tiingo-starter	3167b248f0f9	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SCHW	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	142	tiingo-starter	b41b7375f275	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SHLD	752	2023-09-13	2026-09-11	6	tiingo-starter	58cbc874f898	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SHW	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	5dcc46ff0d98	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SO	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	f8bc591c8f1b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SPG	8,241	1993-12-14	2026-09-11	135	tiingo-starter	c9c8d8bd16ba	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
SPY	8,461	1993-01-29	2026-09-10	135	tiingo-starter	ab025b9774df	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-11
T	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	155	tiingo-starter	56a54626b015	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
TMO	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	65	tiingo-starter	f1275db9c23b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
TMUS	4,881	2007-04-19	2026-09-11	14	tiingo-starter	6f15c188db66	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
TRV	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	139	tiingo-starter	76477b80bd2b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
TSLA	4,076	2010-06-29	2026-09-11	2	tiingo-starter	8393a654b13a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
TXN	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	137	tiingo-starter	032f9befcba9	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
UBER	1,845	2019-05-10	2026-09-11	0	tiingo-starter	016191dd8438	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
UNH	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	87	tiingo-starter	50a5b808c6fb	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
UNP	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	5d6800ae69d6	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
UPS	6,749	1999-11-10	2026-09-11	108	tiingo-starter	6f9098813ff2	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
USB	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	171	tiingo-starter	570e87e0e87b	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
V	4,650	2008-03-19	2026-09-11	75	tiingo-starter	7302f88246f9	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
VZ	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	9afc5e89af71	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
WFC	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	140	tiingo-starter	90792b7926f7	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
WMT	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	8617d620bd42	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLB	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	111	tiingo-starter	50a35e9949a7	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLC	2,069	2018-06-19	2026-09-11	32	tiingo-starter	68a564fc37b0	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLE	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	112	tiingo-starter	b0513345567d	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLF	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	111	tiingo-starter	19deeb54cb91	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLI	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	110	tiingo-starter	a99e0e72ecd3	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLK	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	85	tiingo-starter	c868dc605719	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLP	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	110	tiingo-starter	eee5f595b89c	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLRE	2,747	2015-10-08	2026-09-11	43	tiingo-starter	3ea69f9fd42a	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLU	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	112	tiingo-starter	8c9718c945ec	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLV	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	105	tiingo-starter	1325fe180428	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XLY	6,972	1998-12-22	2026-09-11	111	tiingo-starter	12b46cceeaeb	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12
XOM	8,481	1993-01-04	2026-09-11	138	tiingo-starter	9b4a05677807	1993-01-01 to 2026-09-12

Every series is content-addressed and carries the span that was requested beside the span that was returned, so a gap between them is visible rather than inferred. Raw bars never leave the archive and never reach this page.

One calendar for every name: the partitions are cut on the archive's common span, so definition never overlaps measurement across names (ADR-0005). A name listed after a boundary simply has fewer bars in that partition.

The frozen classifier

Hash: 0434836a176a · supersedes 0434836a176a
Level: index, on SPY · short 20 · long 100 · band 0.01
Calibrated on: the definition partition only, 1993-01-29 to 2003-02-28 · seed 20260911
Regime shares: down 34.6 % · ranging 14.6 % · up 50.8 % · persistence 0.974
Names: QQQ, SPY
Reason for supersession: partitions were cut per series by bar count; the definition slices ended in different years and QQQ's definition overlapped SPY's measurement in calendar time; re-frozen on the archive's common calendar span (ADR-0005)